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Notable
Articles
Executive Summary - By Chris Martenson (85)
As is increasingly the case it is crucial to look deep into real data, and not accept conventional opinion.
The current investment euphoria provides a crucial opportunity to reallocate you assets in a sustainable direction.
The markets are never more dangerous than when consensus is at bullish extremes and investors are complacent
about risks.
In this article, Chris Martenson does an outstanding job of setting out the immense risks underlying financial markets.
Zimbabwe: A Fresh Start - By Alf Field (84)
The history of Zimbabwe provides the latest episode of the tyranny and inevitable traumatic collapse of a fiat monetary system. Fortunately, Zimbabwe is now improving very quickly. Debt has been wiped out and there is no longer any control or currency manipulation within the country over the currency in use. Equality and confidence are returning at lightening speed, and well as peace and prosperity.
We would all be well served to consider where other countries are in their own cycle, and learn the timeless lessons of the history of monetary systems unbacked by tangible assets. If this was widely understood, why would any intelligent majority ever choose a fiat monetary system?
Economics and Moral Courage - by Llewellyn H. Rockwell Jr. (83)
"To be an economist with integrity means having to say things that people don't want to hear and especially to say things that the regime does not want to hear. It takes more than technical knowledge to be a good economist. It takes moral courage, and that is in even shorter supply than economic logic."
Lew Rockwell
Audit the Fed - by Thomas E. Woods, Jr. (82)
The superstitious reverence that Americans have been taught to have for the
Federal Reserve is unworthy of the dignity of a free people. The Fed enjoys a
government-granted monopoly on the creation of legal-tender money. It is not an
unreasonable imposition for Americans to demand to know about the activities of
such an institution. It is common sense.
Property Rights Take a Hit (81)
"... the fact that two of the highest-ranking government
officials can conspire to violate both securities laws and private property rights is abhorrent to everything America supposedly
stands for. If they get away with it, which I believe they will, the precedent and the message will be chilling."
Peter Schiff
The End Game Draws Nigh – The Future Evolution of the Debt-to-GDP Ratio (80)
The
debt-to-GDP Ratio is the ultimate determinator of the success or ruin of any nation.
This article explains why an original Obama supporter has never been more concerned.
This is perhaps the best economic analysis that I have read this year.
Can Congress Write Any Laws It Wants? - Andrew
P. Napolitano (79)
"Some men think the Earth is round, others think it flat… But, if it is flat, will
the King's command make it round? And if it is round, will the King’s command flatten
it? … NO."
Europe On the Ropes - Niels C. Jensen (78)
This is an excellent article comprehensively setting out the scale, character and depth of the enormous financial issues facing Europe.
Paradox Squared - Paul Kasriel (77)
This explanation and chart entirely refute current government policy.
Obama's Opening Salvo - Peter Schiff (76)
"To restore prosperity, credit (derived from savings rather than a printing press) must flow to producers. Greater liquidity for business will lead to legitimate job creation, increased production, and rising living standards. By further encumbering the economy with burdensome regulation, and by transferring business decisions to vote-seeking politicians who will bail out the irresponsible, reward failure and punish success, the government will create a society destined for misery."
Rules for International Monetary Reform - Jesus Huerta de Soto (75)
Stimulating Our Way to Rock Bottom - Ron Paul (74)
3 Trillion Budget Deficit? (73)
Third Rock Illusions (72)
Increasing Instability - Steve Saville (71)
The Corrupt Origins of Central Banking in America - Thomas J. DiLorenzo (70)
Houdiniomics: The New Era of Government Magic - by Peter Krieg (69)
"How pale is the art of sorcerers, witches, and conjurors when compared with that of the government’s Treasury Department!"
~ Ludwig von Mises, The Theory of Money and Credit
What Hamilton Has Wrought - By Thomas J. DiLorenzo (68)
How AIG's Collapse Began a Global Run on the Banks - By Porter Stansberry (67)
Don't Buy the Fear - By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud (66)
Recapitalise the banking system - by George Soros (65)
The Creation of the Second Great Depression - by Ron Paul (64)
Who Holds the Old Maid? - by John Mauldin (63)
Dead Men Walking (62)
Is The US Banking System Safe? (61)
"Truth is in short supply today."
Jim Quinn
Wall Street, Banks, and American Foreign Policy (60)
"The temptation for bankers in particular to wield the power of the State to their benefit is very great because it permits banks
to inflate their asset base systematically."
"The disruptions which accompanied the business cycle were a major factor in the transformation of the dominant ideology in the U.S.
from a general adherence to laissez-faire doctrines to an ideology of political capitalism which viewed the state as a necessary
instrument for the rationalization and stabilization of an inherently unstable economic order."
The Ticking Credit Card Time Bomb, by Peter Schiff
(59)
For those holding out hope that the American economy can miraculously avoid a long and deep recession
consumer credit is often viewed as the wonder drug that can cure all manner of economic ills. As such,
this week's report showing $15 billion growth in consumer credit was widely heralded as proof of
America's economic strength and resilience. However, we are now suffering the after effects of too
much debt, and our salvation cannot be found in more of the same.
Where is the Bottom in Housing? (58)
"Those who think we are close to a bottom in the housing bubble are engaged in wishful thinking. You read above
what those who really do their homework are saying. If we had more space, I could give you even more statistics and
forecasts from Gary Shilling, Greg Weldon, Dr. Nouriel Roubini and others who do their homework, rather than trying
to see a trend in one month's statistics. Many of the home sales from February are foreclosures. Those are going to
rise. The key pieces of data to look at will be the months of supply of homes for sale and foreclosures. Until the
supply of homes gets back to 6 months, we will probably not have seen the bottom. Until we have worked through the
millions of foreclosures that are in front of us, it is hard to think in terms of a bottom.
We are in a recession, and that means rising unemployment and falling consumer spending. It means tighter profit
margins. Etc. It is going to take a long time for the economy to recover. Welcome to Muddle Through."
- John Mauldin.
The Cultural and Spiritual Legacy of Fiat Inflation (57)
"All the perplexities, confusions and distresses in America arise not from defects in the constitution or confederation,
not from want of honor or virtue, as from downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit, and circulation." - President John Adams.
John Adams and so many of America's founding fathers, risked their lives for a set of passionately held beliefs and principles,
that today seem to have been completely forgotten or regarded as outdated or irrelevant. The tragedy of today is that we have
to relearn all over again what America's founding fathers already knew and tried to protect us from.
Central banking and fiat money are deeply corrosive to society, and the constitution attempted to make them illegal
(see Article 50). The tentacles of our current financial system reach deeply and fundamentally into every aspect of
our lives. This is one of the best articles I have read that explain why this is so destructive.
Central Banking and Addiction To An Illusion (56)
Our current government deals in illusion.
Individuals monitor their own level of debt. Most are careful not to let their debt load get beyond their ability to repay.
They do not let themselves get into a position of having to default. They know that bankruptcy is a painful option.
They know that creditors can repossess every mortgaged item they own. In contrast the United States government
keeps rolling up debts year by year. It has on on-budget debt of almost $9 trillion, plus an off-budget debt in
the range of $70 trillion.
There is no way that this can be paid off in money with today's purchasing power, unless political steps are taken
today to stop the expansion of debt. But no such steps are ever taken. Politicians have no incentive to stop making
promises. The unfunded liability keeps growing. When the debtor controls the currency nobody can foreclose on the
debtor. Politicians have no incentive to create a schedule for repaying the government's debt. They would be thrown
out of office if they suggested that the expansion of future obligations must cease until a means of repayment is set up.
While individuals have the incentive to be disciplined, governments generally tend to be financially undisciplined if they
can get away with it.
Nevertheless, the illusion of repayment of government debt must be maintained. It will be maintained, nation by nation,
all over the world. It will be maintained by the creation of more counterfeit money. The illusion of solvency of the
government will be maintained by the insolvency of the currency. Meanwhile, for the system to continue, there must be
widespread ongoing acceptance of this illusion.
Gary North writes a brilliant article highlighting our current illusory predicament.
Trade your way to Financial Freedom (55) "Most investors believe
there is some magic secret of the markets that will make them rich. Such a
secret does exist. But the answer is where you would least expect it to
be."
Dr. Van Tharp
Federal Reserve Oversight Needed Now (54) "How can a policy of
steadily debasing our currency be defended morally, knowing what harm it
causes to those who still believe in saving money and assuming
responsibility for themselves in their retirement years? Is it any wonder
we are a nation of debtors rather than savers? We need more transparency
in how the Federal Reserve carries out monetary policy, and we need it
soon."
- Dr. Ron Paul is a member of Congress.
Are you ready for retirement? (53)
"Too many Americans don't save anything," I said, half-jokingly, "because they're spending money
they don't have, on things they don't need, to impress people they don't like."
Dollars and Politics (52)
While other countries have to export in order to pay for their imports, the sovereign who emits a global currency
is exempt from adhering to the most fundamental law of economic exchange. This sets domestic resources free for
the expansion of the state, particularly military power. The more such an imperial power extends its military
presence around the globe, the more its currency becomes a global currency, and thereby new expansionary steps
can be financed. Expansion becomes a necessity. Over time, however, the divergence widens more and more between
the weakening industrial base at home and the extended global role. With goods coming from abroad for which
there is no immediate need to pay with sweat and effort, the domestic culture changes and power-hungry political
elites emerge. In the private sector, the production of goods at home is substituted by fancy activities.
This cycle has been the fate of all empires.
The Best Stock Tip I Ever Received (51)
When it comes to hot stock tips, it's either a bum insider tip (which could cost you a bundle) or it's a good insider
tip... in which case you're then guilty of insider trading.
Money and the Constitution (50)
A close reading of the Constitution - the document whose purpose was to protect the
American people from federal officials - leaves little room for doubt about the
intentions of the Framers. As you read the following excerpts from the Constitution,
ask yourself: Did the Framers intend for our country to have a monetary system based
on gold and silver coins or on paper money?
Irreparable Cracks in the Financial System (49)
Sure, it would have been in the best interest of the island to have a strong currency,
but it was certainly not in the best interest of the Smartos, who had devised their
last grand plan: shift assets overseas and into precious metals, let the currency of
the island collapse, and then repatriate the funds and buy up the remaining assets of
the Bush tribe's middle and lower classes at bargain prices since they had never
understood that their currency had collapsed against foreign currencies and against gold.
Alternative Medicine is Libertarian (48)
Do you own yourself? This is the first question you should ask yourself if you are going to improve your health.
America's Injustice system is criminal (47)
The US has 5% of the world's population and 25% of the world's prisoners. The American incarceration rate
is seven times higher than that of European countries. Either America is the land of criminals, or something
is seriously wrong with the criminal justice system in "the land of the free."
Imperialism, Inflation, and War (46)
Schumpeter's analysis explains the particularly strong propensity of democratic states to engage in imperialist war making and why the Age of Democracy
has coincided with the Age of Imperialism.
A Century of War (45)
Look again at the real causes of war. Unless we understand our history better, how can we hope to
create a more peaceful and creative world?
Precious Metals - Critical Diversifier (44)
Investors with a precious metals allocation improve their risk/return performance.
Supporting The Trade (43)
While most people yawn at any mention of the trade deficit, it is important to understand this truly
remarkable mechanism that continues to support financial markets, but can not last for ever.
TD Ameritrade Investor perception study (pdf) (42)
TD
Ameritrade Financial Advice difference explained (pdf) (41)
American democracy needs reform (40)
"In the last 50 years more than 95% of congressmen who stood for re-election won.
Because incumbents tend to win they receive 5 times more in "donations" than challengers in the House,
and nine times in the Senate.
As average spending per candidate in the 2004 election was $1m for House seats and $7m for the Senate,
re-election is heavily dependent on financing. How credible is it that congress is working for
voters rather than donors? Aren't voters supposed to be sovereign if America truly believes in Democracy?"
How does a nation lose its soul? (39) "What is morally wrong can never be advantageous,
even when it enables you to make some gain that you believe to be to your
advantage. The mere act of believing that some wrongful course of action
constitutes an advantage is pernicious."
- Cicero
Senators know best? (38)
Senators beat the market by an average of 12%, and they only have to file their financial holdings once a year.
The Principle of Sound Money (37) "It is impossible to grasp the meaning of the
idea of sound money if one does not realize that it was devised as an
instrument for the protection of civil liberties against despotic inroads
on the part of governments. Ideologically it belongs in the same class
with political constitutions and bills of rights."
- Ludwig von Mises.
Foreign policy and the dollar (36)
Congressman Ron Paul describes the evolution of the link between the US dollar and US foreign policy.
The artificial demand for the US dollar as a reserve currecy, along with US military might, places the US
in a unique position to "rule" the world without productive work or savings, and without limits on consumer
spending or deficits. The problem is, it can't last.
The case for the Barbarous Relic (35)
All the perplexities, confusions and distresses in America arise not from defects in the constitution
or confederation, not from want of honor or virtue, as from downright ignorance of the nature of coin,
credit, and circulation." - President John Adams.
Executives and Stock Options (34)
Shareholders should really be asking whether executives should have stock options at all.
Hyperinflation or deflation? (33)
A great discussion about the choice we may one day have to face?
I,Greenspan (32)
The inner thoughts of Alan Greenspan have escaped well before publication of his memoirs.
50 Timeless rules of investing (31)
Great investment wisdom distilled into 51 timeless rules by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud.
How Government Debts grow (30)
How the growth of government debt has become relentless.
Richard Russell's investment wisdom (29)
Richard Russell's perspective on how to achieve long term investment success.
Sowing the Seeds of the next crisis (28)
The late 1990s boom was provoked by an overly expansionary monetary policy. Despite the
following equity market bust, this same excessive monetary policy has been kept in place,
sowing the seeds of the next crisis.
The End Of Dollar Hegemony (27)
Congressman Ron Paul describes the evolution of the link between the US dollar and US foreign policy.
The artificial demand for the US dollar as a reserve currecy, along with US military might, places the
US in a unique position to "rule" the world without productive work or savings, and without limits on consumer
spending or deficits. The problem is, it can't last.
Budget Deficit Games (26)
There is the highly publisized "President's Budget" issued by the Office of Management and Budget,
and the almost secret "Financial Report of the United States" issued by the Department of Treasury.
The budget says the fiscal deficit for 2005 was $319bn, but the Financial Report claims it is $760bn.
Democracy versus Freedom (25)
The word "Democracy" does not appear in either the Declaration of Independence or the US Constitution. America's
founders intended a limited constitutional republic, in which individual rights were strongly protected.
They had rejected a pure democracy as an unsustainable political model.
Attention Deficit Democracy (24)
Strong opinion about the degraded state of American Democracy.
Addicted to war (23)
"House of War" author James Carroll says the Pentagon is out of control, and the Cold War was unnecessary,
and much else besides. The history of the Pentagon from its beginning, right up to the current time.
What the price of gold is telling us (22)
The key message from the rising price of gold is discussed by Congressman Ron Paul.
The Progessive Era (21)
We are still living with the consequences of the "progressive era", which began in the 19th century.
Ironically in the name of preserving competition and promoting the "public welfare", the Progressives
ultimately created a system that stifled competition and created entrenched interest groups and the
ubiquitous "revolving door" between regulated business and the agencies that regulate them.
Anatomy of the State (20)
What is the State? Is it us or something else? How does it work? Do we control it, or does it control us?
THE FATAL FLAW IN SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE (19)
As social security was designed during the 1930's depression,
it's primary purpose was as a welfare scheme. Focusing too much on
social security as a retirement scheme misses this basic point. Here is a
common sense proposal that solves a great many of our financing problems,
simply by returning social security to its roots.
Deflation and Depression (18)
There is a great deal of confusion about the linkage between
deflation and depression. This article gives a very detailed analysis of what has actually occurred over
hundreds of years in many different countries. Although most people have tended to link the two together
because the US had both together in the 1930's, it turns out that there is very little linkage between
deflation and depression.
Alan Greenspan recently said
he simply did not understand why Japan had experienced persistent
deflation in recent decades, but this has not stopped the Fed from pulling
out all the stops to avoid deflation in the US. This suggests that fed
policy has recently not only been confused but also inappropriate and so
has increased the risks of instability in the economy in the medium
term.
Greenspan's monumental liquidity trap (17)
The most alarming component of the labor statistics is that wages rose just 2.2% in the 12 months to the
end of May. Inflation on the other hand rose 3.1%. So the American wage earner got poorer in the current
"recovery". In every previous recovery wage earners got richer. The Greenspan boom is already on very
fragile ground and this was before interest rates started rising.
Dr. Kurt Richebacker writes in the attached note ("Greenspan's monumental liquidity trap") that
"..by maintaining the consumer borrowing and spending binge in the face of plummeting income growth,
the mortgage-refinancing bubble has been the U.S. economy's lifeline... What is unfolding there is not
just gradual credit restraint. It is a most savage credit crunch with obvious, most dismal consequences
for consumer spending and the economy."
Ignorance is bliss (16)
An article which takes its queue from Socrates who once said:
"True knowledge exists in knowing that you know nothing. And in
knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all."
The article describes well how it has come to be said that:
"Americans buy things they don't need, with money they don't have, from places they can't find on a map, to impress people they don't like."
House Prices - An Orderly Decline in Appreciation or a Crash Landing? (15)
MAKE IT STOP HURTING! by Gary North (14)
How to identify a bubble, by Kurt Richebacher (13)
Gold - the story of the 20th century (12)
5 Steps To Investing Better Than The Pros (11)
Too many treasure hunters, By Marc Faber (10)
US main beneficiary of China's fixed currency policy (9)
Paper Money and Tyranny (8)
Mutual Fund Expenses (7)
The Bankruptcy of America (6)
Reinventing Mutual Funds (5)
Moving the Goalposts (4)
Faith Versus History (3)
The Gold and Dollar Standards, Deficits and Inflation (2)
How pension fund losses boost earnings (1)
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